Table 7 Number of total, correct, and unnecessary referrals and KRT cases missed when using ≥ 5% 5-year predicted KRT risk or ACR ≥ 70 mg/mmol as referral criteria for models 2–6, compared to previous NICE guidelines (referral if eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73 \({m}^{2}\) and/or ACR ≥ 70 mg/mmol)
Correct referrals | Unnecessary referrals | Missed KRT cases | Total referrals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
White (N = 11,596) | ||||
NICE guidelines | 26 (4.09) | 609 (96.0) | 32 (55.2) | 635 |
Model 2 | 29 (5.38) | 510 (94.6) | 29 (50.0) | 539 |
Model 3 | 29 (5.50) | 498 (94.5) | 29 (50.0) | 527 |
Model 4 | 29 (5.39) | 509 (94.6) | 29 (50.0) | 538 |
Model 5 | 29 (7.63) | 351 (92.4) | 29 (50.0) | 380 |
Model 6 | 30 (8.09) | 341 (91.9) | 28 (48.3) | 371 |
South Asian (N = 2124) | ||||
NICE guidelines | 19 (13.0) | 127 (87.0) | 5 (20.8) | 146 |
Model 2 | 23 (10.9) | 188 (89.1) | 1 (4.17) | 211 |
Model 3 | 23 (10.2) | 202 (89.8) | 1 (4.17) | 225 |
Model 4 | 23 (11.0) | 186 (89.0) | 1 (4.17) | 209 |
Model 5 | 23 (12.9) | 155 (87.1) | 1 (4.17) | 178 |
Model 6 | 23 (12.0) | 168 (88.0) | 1 (4.17) | 191 |
Overall (N = 13,720) | ||||
NICE guidelines | 45 (5.76) | 736 (94.0) | 37 (45.1) | 781 |
Model 2 | 52 (6.93) | 698 (93.1) | 30 (36.6) | 750 |
Model 3 | 52 (6.91) | 700 (93.1) | 30 (36.6) | 752 |
Model 4 | 52 (6.96) | 695 (93.0) | 30 (36.6) | 747 |
Model 5 | 52 (9.32) | 506 (90.7) | 30 (36.6) | 558 |
Model 6 | 53 (9.43) | 509 (90.6) | 29 (35.4) | 562 |